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Storm Chasing Logs - July 17, 2025

Thursday July 17, 2025
Start Location: Fergus, Ontario
Target Location: Mount Forest
Total Distance: 197 kms

Background:

An interesting pattern was setting up today as a cold front was poised to cross the region in the afternoon. The atmosphere was forecasted to be highly unstable (LIs to -8 and Capes to 2000) and thus I began monitoring the situation around 10am. I was surprised that no one was mention the threat for severe weather today and, in fact, most radio stations and media outlets were calling for sun with no chance of precipitation. I talked with one other chaser and he asked if I thought anything was going to happen and where I was going if it did. We discussed a few thoughts and I told him that I thought that convection would fire up and track southeastward anywhere from Owen Sound to Collingwood.   

Although I thought that any storms that fired would probably produce large hail and damaging winds, I played the waiting game as I knew that the setup was very good. Around 4 pm, satellite indicated that strong cells were blowing up in the Georgian Bay region and the radar images caught them about 10 mins later showing very strong to severe thunderstorms forming. I decided to play the southwest end of the line and got in the truck and headed northward to Arthur.

The Chase:

As I headed toward Mount Forest from Fergus, I caught my first glimpse of the cells blowing up and I was very excited by what I saw. The cumulonimbus cell was exhibiting an overshooting top and excellent shear within it. At this time, a tornado warning was issued for this cell. I knew that I was too far to the west but I tried to catch it anyway. SO I headed east along Highway 89 for about 15 mins before deciding that I was not going to catch it and thus, I was out of luck. Being a little disturbed that I called the storm but was out of location, I pulled over to the side of the road to decide what I was going to do. I received a phone call from Des who said he was in the area (the chaser I talked with earlier in the day) and he was seeing rotation but no tornado was present. I glanced in my review mirror and noticed that a few cells were building up behind me and I decided to turn around and head back west toward Mount Forest. I bid Des Good luck and began my second chase of the day.

These cells were really blowing up fast. The first picture was the start and the second was 5 mins later.


The Chase Begins

As I traveled through Mount Forest, these exploding thunderstorms became outflow dominate and collapsed very quickly. As I passed through the rain core on a southwest track out of Mount Forest, I gave a quick phone call to Dave R. for a radar update. He told me that the cells I was chasing looked great and then died on radar. He said that there was some new development associated with it on the west side and though that maybe the cells I were chasing were undercut and this new development was robbing them of moisture and thus they collapsed. I asked him where he was and he told me he was at home. I told him that the thunderstorm with the tornado warning was heading for him and he said they were watching it come it. Showed some signs of rotation froma  distance. He told me he was going out to check things out and he would call back.

So off I took off towards Orangeville to catch the new development as it looked like it was going to track right over town. As I approached Orangeville, I noticed that a wall cloud was starting to form over the city. As I was in traffic, I was really having a tough time watching the wall cloud form and not hitting anyone. Little did many of  them know what was going on. I was about to call E.C. about it when the tornado warning was continued for the region.

I got another phone call from Des and he told me he was about 20 kms to my northeast and on the other side of the cell. He said that he could see the wall cloud but was not as close to it as me (almost under it now). Deciding I should head a little further south in case it did turn right I headed southward on Highway 10 for about 5 kms before heading east again. The wall cloud had very good definition and there was some definite rotation with in it. I thought that this storm was going to produce a tornado soon. 


Wall Cloud Formation

About now, I really started to get concerned as this storm was heading directly for Toronto and, if a tornado formed there, it could have some pretty bad consequences. I snapped off a few more pictures and then the wall cloud became outflow dominate and died eventually merging with the storm to the east (original tornadic storm). Another pulse storm with no results. Ok, I was getting a little upset with myself as my forecast was dead on, I was there but nothing happened.

Well I guessed that with my forecast correct and a nice wall cloud, I actually had a successful chase day and decided to head home. As I traveled west on hwy 24, I saw another pulse storm pop up and decided to take some more photos in the field. I caught a couple of nice lightning strikes and a beautiful backlit rainfoot.

I noticed some small cells build to the northwest of Guelph. I was about 15 kms from Guelph at the time and noticed some slight rotation in the updraft core. I listened to the weather alert radio and made a phone call to another chaser. He said that the cell was strong but not showing much.

Well, time to head home. BIG MISTAKE. This was, in hindsight, the best storm of the day. The cell traveled over Guelph and interacted with the lake breeze to forma an F2 tornado in the south end of town. By the time I got home, My phone was ringing and it was a friend in Guelph who told me that he saw the funnel in Guelph about 5 mins ago and why was I at home!!!. Well, I was definitely a little ticked but I was worried as I knew people in the area. So I took off to the place he observed the funnel and did some detective work to find the exact track. After snapping a few pictures and getting kicked out of the area as the police were blocking things off, I decided to head home. I tried to tell the police I was doing a report for EC but they thought I was a reporter with the amount of equipment I had on the truck etc.

So I called EC, told them this was definitely a tornado and not wind damage and headed home. As I got home, I checked my email and tons of reports were arriving in and some photos of it. I got one disturbing message from someone I know that lived in the area. She told me that the tornado went right over her house and she, due to conversations with me, headed to the basement with here kids in time. At least, my website and involvement in the weather helped.

Waking up the next morning, I gave her a call and she invited me to come and assess the damage etc. So I headed over and spent the whole day taking pictures and helping with the cleanup around the area. It was really nice to see the numbers of volunteers out helping. During the day, numerous people came over and talked to me about it. They knew I was a chaser but wanted to know what they saw etc. So after a long day and some seriously sore muscles after cutting about 60 trees up, I headed home. This one was very close to home but thankfully, no one was serious hurt or killed.

An interesting aside is that looking at the damage, the older houses stood up very well while the new ones fell apart with walls collapsing etc.

Summary:

Well, this was a very interesting chase day. I was happy that my forecasting the storms was almost dead on including the tornado threat. I need to work on pinpointing exactly where I think things are going to happen within 30 kms instead of about 45 kms (better than last year which was averaging 80 kms). Also, trust your eyes and not what the radar or people are saying. Sometimes being in the field is better for gauging storm strength. An excellent storm survey done by Dave Sills of Environment Canada is here. He did a great job compiling this data.

Photos of the Tornado:


These are video captures. I don't know who took them

 
Great Shot taken. Unknown Source.

Account From Dave Scott including photos below.


Copyright Dave Scott.

One is the main wall cloud descending as it starts to twist. This was taken about 4 minutes before touchdown. In the second shot you can see the downburst,Whirlwind,F0 you call it as it touched the ground picking up dirt it died instantly no more then 2 seconds on the ground. On the right side of the screen you can still see the main body of the tornado descending ( The F2) Plus if I am not mistaken the f0 that hit the Silvercreek area. These shots where both taken facing north on Westwood towards Willow rd.

Radar Animation during the tornado

If you can stop the last image, you can see the trademark hook echo associated with tornadoes.

Damage Photos:

  



Cleanup BeginsAll Photos and information unless otherwise noted are copyrighted 2000 by Dave Patrick.  Any use other than authorized by them is against the law.  If you wish to contact me regarding use of these photos, please e-mail me. Images unaltered digitally (except where stated)

 

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