Wednesday July 04, 2025
Start Location: Fergus, Ontario
Target Location: All Over
Total Distance: 524 kmsBackground:
The night before was a very long one. I
felt that the 4th was going to be a very interesting day and thus, wanted
to make sure I had done my analysis of the models. This took me a lot
longer than I thought and finally got to bed around 3 am figuring there
was a chance of tornadoes in Ontario.
The chase would depend on the timing of
the cold front. As with many cold fronts situated in the Lake Superior
region, they tend to slow down crossing the Great Lakes and I was hoping
this would happen. All the models indicated that there was sufficient
shear and veering with height in the atmosphere to cause any storms that
form to rotate but there was weak surface winds and this concerned me. I
decided that it was a chase day and went to bed.
I woke up around 10 am and looked at my
lightning detection system and noticed that I was getting strikes in the
western sections of Southern Ontario. Radar confirmed that storms had
fired in the Sarnia and Hanover area and were tracking east. I decided to
take a stab at chasing them as I felt they would become severe even this
early in the morning.
Chase #1:
I decided to intercept the northern
storms in Elmira and time it perfectly. I caught the first storm and
noticed that it was beginning to right turn and show signs of rotation in
it. A severe thunderstorm warning came out about 11 am and a quick call to
EC told me that rotation had been detected. I informed them that it was
there but having trouble becoming surfaced based. Needless to say, I
chased this storm into Guelph as it intensified.
Backside |
Rotation |
Hail Drifts |
Cooler Ice |
I stayed north of Guelph to keep on good
road networks and swung around after the core hit. The roads were covered
in hail with the largest I found was 3.75 cm (1.5 inches). I reported this
to EC around 12 pm and watched the second storm plow into the region. As
the flow was linear, the storms were training over the same place and some
evidence of flood became apparent. The second storm seemed a lot more
intense than the first with tons of CG lightning hitting all around me.
Wall Cloud with Funnel Trying to Form
I changed position and within 5 mins
noticed this nice wall cloud forming and condensing near the ground. I was
about to call it in as the rotation was picking up but some cold outflow
winds from the third cell hit it (could feel it rush by me) and the wall
cloud with the possible funnel dissipated. Another cell hit after this one
but it was weaker than the other 2 and I decided to head home and begin
analysis for the afternoon storms. The show had just begun. What I liked
was that the storms showed evidence of rotation this early in the morning.
On the way home I talked with Ron G about this and he said that he had
just gotten up and was starting the CanWarn net early. He had been up most
of the night analyzing things as well and figure the afternoon show was
going to be very interesting.
Chase #2:
After the nice morning excitement, I
headed home and started to do some analysis on the possible afternoon
storms. I was a little concerned that the morning's convection would
stabilize the area around Guelph and cause me to chase further north or
west. After running a few more models and hand plotting surface
observations, I got on the phone to Des Cairns. He was in Hanover watching
some cumulus starting to build. I decided that I would target Arthur and
change locations as new data came in. About half way there I gave a call
to Ron Gravelle and he told me that I should wait there but not go further
north than that.
Just north of Arthur, some beautiful
cumulus clouds started to build and I watched them but they did not have
any indications of sustaining the storm. Well this was great. I was
deciding heading further to the Southwest when the first warnings started
coming in from the Sarnia area around 3 pm. This made my mind up and I
headed towards Stratford. About half way there, tornado warnings started
being issued for areas south of Sarnia and east of Barrie. Great. Storms
firing up to my north and south but nothing firing up in my target zone
(which was in between the 2). However the Sarnia storm was very mature and
producing some gorgeous mammatus features that stretched for almost 100
kms. A simply perfect sight.
New!
As I came into Stratford, I noticed a
nice vaulted updraft to my northwest and this would track over London. A
quick phone call to Ron, told me it was there but not indicating rotation
yet but asked if I would head back to spot in the Kitchener area as he
felt things would get interesting in the next hour and that my forecast
was getting better.
I headed south to Woodstock and then took
off on the 401 back to Kitchener. About 40 kms from KW, I could see the
towers rising into the mammatus field from the Sarnia storm but there was
evidence of rotation. As I approached Aye, Ontario I called Ron and he told
me that the cell of KW was weakening but the cell to the west of it was
really cranking up. I got confused and said I think I am in that cell now
and "Oh, it is really starting to get organized, I need to get off this
highway."
I got off at the Ayr exit (#268) and
headed south on Reidsville Road to Alps Rod and headed west. About 1/2 kms
down the road I pulled over and watched as a wall cloud started to form.
A quick call to Ron about it and that I
was on it and there was rotation becoming evident. Told him I would call
him back.
As I filmed it, it started to wrap rain
and hail around me. I was starting to lose visibility. A chaser nightmare.
I turned around and headed back east to Reidville road and swung south
again. As there was a ton of trees, I lost the wall cloud but was watching
at every point so that I did not overrun it. I came down a hill to a train
track when there to my southwest was a developing tornado. I had the film
running but at the exact time, the train lights started to flash and I got
across and set up to film the multiple vortex tornado (2 tornadoes
rotating within a larger circulation). The stills below show a point after
the 2 vortexs combined into a single tornado circulation.
I got out to take a still shot and phone
Ron to report it and the train just started to pass and the engineer and
conductor looked at me and then I pointed at the tornado and they looked
in amazement before they started to slow the train down. There was no
danger for them but it was good to see they took it seriously.
The 2 tornadoes merged into one and
within a minute they had dissipated. I got closer to the wall cloud
thinking it may regenerate and got a little too close by the next shot.
the funnel is still over my head but the rotation is really strong. In
fact, it looks like another funnel tried to form in the top right of this
shot about half way.
I got lost in the road network from this
point on as the trees really cause some dangerous problems as you could
not see much. I decided to call the chase off for my safety.
I headed home and made a bunch of phone
calls to other chasers and came into Guelph when I noticed another cell
forming. This cell had some nice definition forming but I was very tired.
I made a quick phone call to Mark Robinson and he said he was near the
area and decided to chase it. I wish I did as I formed a tornado northwest
of Campbellville and did some damage to some barns.
All in all, a very good chase day. Most
of the tornadoes occurred in rural areas and did little damage. Going to
be nice to add this one to my chase highlights film. Special thanks to Ron
Gravelle, Des Cairns, Jack Kertzie and Mark Robinson for nowcasting and
spotter obs from the field.
New Data: I
went back the next day to do some damage assessment. It took over 2 hours
to find any evidence of a touchdown but after talking with some people, I
found that the tornado just missed a subdivision and hit open field. The
picture below shows how the grass was sand blasted (turned yellow) and all
the loose vegetation stripped from the area.
Additional Reports:
WOCN10 CWTO 050203
GENERAL WEATHER STATEMENT
ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA. REGIONAL CENTRE TORONTO ONTARIO.
10.03 PM EDT WEDNESDAY 4 JULY 2001.
THE FOLLOWING IS A SUMMARY OF THE SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK ACROSS
SOUTHERN ONTARIO ON WEDNESDAY JULY 4.
SARNIA..(9 AM)....................MARBLE-SIZED HAIL
WEST TORONTO..(NEAR MIDDAY).......POSSIBLE TORNADO IN MISSISSAUGA
TORONTO ISLAND (EARLY AFTERNOON)..HOVERCRAFT REPORTED FUNNEL CLOUD
TORONTO CITY CENTRE AIRPORT..(1.20 PM)... 89 KM/H WIND GUSTS
TORONTO CITY CENTRE AIRPORT..(TO 2 PM)... 31 MM RAIN IN 1.5 HOURS
ELMIRA (11.15 AM).................GOLF BALL-SIZED HAIL
ACTON..(11.40 AM).................GOLF BALL-SIZED HAIL
CAMBRIDGE..(LATE MORNING).........GOLF BALL-SIZED HAIL
GUELPH..(NEAR NOON)...............1.5 INCH HAIL WITH 6 INCH
HAIL DRIFTS ALONG ROADS..AND LOCAL FLOODING
FERGUS..(EARLY AFTERNOON).........QUARTER SIZED HAIL
ELMIRA..(EARLY AFTERNOON).........FLOODED ROADS
NEAR BANCROFT...(2:30 PM).........2.3 CM HAIL
WEST OF BANCROFT NEAR HIGHLAND GROVE...(2:30 PM)..UNCONFIRMED
TORNADO WITH HYDRO POLES AND TREES DOWN
ARGYLE (2:45PM)...................TORNADO REPORTED
SARNIA (3 PM).....................MARBLE-SIZED HAIL
SARNIA (AFTER 3 PM)...............TREES AND POWER LINES DOWNED
SARNIA AREA (AFTER 3 PM)..........QUARTER-SIZED HAIL
PETROLIA (3:30 PM)................STRONG ROTATION ON DOPPLER RADAR
BUT NO CONFIRMED TORNADO
SOUTH OF LAKE SIMCOE (4 PM).......STRONG ROTATION ON DOPPLER RADAR
WITH LONG-LIVED WALL CLOUDS ASSOCIATED
BARRIE (3:10 PM)..................NICKEL-SIZED HAIL
REGIONAL RD 30 IN PETERBOROUGH AREA..(MID AFTERNOON)..FUNNEL CLOUD
WITH BARN ROOF LIFTED OFF...SILO SHEARED OFF.
SHELBURNE..(4:30 PM)...............MARBLE-SIZED HAIL
REGIONAL RD 30/DURHAM 15 (DURHAM REGION)..(4 PM)..MARBLE-SIZED HAIL
ARTHUR..(5 PM).....................TORNADO SIGHTED
AYR (SOUTH OF CAMBRIDGE)..(5 PM)...TORNADO SIGHTED THEN LIFTED
AND TOUCHED DOWN AGAIN NEAR ST GEORGE WEST OF HAMILTON
CAMPBELLVILLE/MILTON..(7:45 PM)....TORNADO LIFTED PARTIAL ROOF OFF
BARN
...AND DOWNED NUMEROUS TREES WITH DEBRIS TOSSED ABOUT
...REPORTEDLY 100 CARS STOPPED ON HWY 401 NEAR MILTON WATCHING
TORNADO
END/ASHTON
WOCN10 CWTO 060252
GENERAL WEATHER STATEMENT
ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA. REGIONAL CENTRE TORONTO ONTARIO.
10.52 PM EDT THURSDAY 5 JULY 2001.
...SOUTHERN ONTARIO TORNADO SUMMARY FROM THE 4TH OF JULY...
FOLLOWING IS A SUMMARY OF THE LOCATION OF TORNADOES AND DAMAGE FROM
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCED BY TWO COLD FRONTS THAT SWEPT ACROSS
SOUTHERN ONTARIO ON THE 4TH OF JULY.
TORNADO LOCATION TIME LOCATION
MISSISSAUGA NEAR NOON NO DAMAGE REPORTS
ARGYLE 2.30 PM F0 DAMAGE - TORNADO SIGHTED
BANCROFT 2.30 PM UNCONFIRMED TORNADO
HYDRO LINES/TREES DOWN
FENELON FALLS 2.45 PM F1 DAMAGE - SILO KNOCKED DOWN
ARTHUR 4.55 PM TORNADO CONFIRMED ON GROUND
BY CANWARN STORM SPOTTER
UNKNOWN DAMAGE
AYR TO ST GEORGE 5.00 PM F0 DAMAGE
-5.30 PM
CAMPBELLVILLE 7.25 PM F0 DAMAGE - VIDEO FOOTAGE
- PART OF ROOF RIPPED OFF
- TREES DOWN
END/KUHN
All Photos and information unless otherwise noted are
copyrighted 2001 by Dave Patrick. Any use other than authorized by me is against
the law. If you wish to contact me regarding use of these photos, please e-mail me.
Images unaltered digitally (except where stated)
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