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Today's Severe Outlook

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Additional Outlooks:

Ontario Convective Outlook (2 Xs Day)
Vortex 100 Storm Discussion (Daily)
SPC Day1/Day2 Outlooks (4 Xs Day)
Michigan State
New York State

Discussions:

Daily Ontario Synopsis (once a day)
Heavy Snow Discussion (periodic on events)
6-18 Hour Snow (updated twice daily)
18-30 Hour Snow (updated twice daily)





This section will focus on the threat of severe weather including thunderstorms, hail and tornadoes threats if they arise. I try to give an in-depth look at what I feel may happen but mother nature likes to play tricks and thus, conditions may change.
I update these once daily at varying times unless otherwise stated These are not official forecasts ( I am a hobbyist forecaster/storm chaser) Also, please use the other sources on the left as they provide added insight to conditions in the region.
Tuesday August 3 10:00 AM EST
Discussion: The chance for severe weather shifts into the U.S as the low pressure system heads to the southeast. Most of the province will see mostly sunny skies today except for areas in the Southern and Eastern Ontario. Bret is now a tropical storm as it has weakened significantly over the last 12 hours when it hit land. There are now more tropical depressions forming and the latest , Tropical Depression 5, could affect the east coast by this weekend. Check the Atlantic discussion in the hurricane section for more information.
Tuesday: There is no chance of severe thunderstorms in Ontario.

Showers and thunderstorms are expected in the Southern Ontario as a low pressure system rides the jet stream. The best energy and precipitation values look to affect the southwest where very heavy rains could fall during the overnight period.

The rest of the province will see mostly sunny skies except Eastern Ontario where clouds will move in later this afternoon.

Wednesday: There is no chance of severe thunderstorms in Ontario.

Although no severe weather is expected, showers and a few embedded thunderstorms may fire up today in Southern and Eastern Ontario.  The is a little instability in these areas but the latest models indicated that most areas will receive just a few mms or rainfall except the southwest where up to 25 mms of rainfall could be expected by late Wednesday night.

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